📋 Tender Overview
The Ministry of the Environment, Climate and Energy, in cooperation with the Jozef Stefan Institute, prepared the first national Assessment of Climate Vulnerability and Risks for the Energy Sector. The analysis shows that the Slovenian energy sector at the national level is moderately vulnerable in the current climate conditions, but at the same time points to marked regional differences in exposure and degree of vulnerability.Threats to the energy sector are floods, fire, storms, avalanches, sleet and wet snow, heat and drought.
The assessment of climate vulnerability and risks for the energy sector was prepared according to the IPCC AR5 methodology and in accordance with the national instructions of the Faculty of Biotechnology, which envisage six steps: identification of climate hazards, assessment of vulnerability, formulation of climate change scenarios, assessment of exposure and impacts, assessment of risks and communication of uncertainty.
Key findings
The greatest threat to the energy sector is represented by floods, which threaten fuel storage facilities, transformer stations, electricity distribution networks and other elements of supply chains. Fire, storms and windbreaks, sleet and wet snow, and heat waves, which affect the efficiency of devices and increase energy consumption for cooling, are also important risks.
The weighted total vulnerability score of the energy sector is approximately 2.3 on a scale of 1 to 5, with the electricity sub-sector having the highest vulnerability (around 2.6). High vulnerability is also shown by electricity distribution systems, photovoltaic power plants and fuel transport and logistics routes.
The assessment confirms that the Slovenian energy sector is moderately vulnerable to climate change in the current climate, but it contains critical elements, the failure of which could cause large-scale disruptions in supply.
The analysis also highlights regional differences: the Notranjska region is at greater risk due to frost, the southwest due to fires, and the faster rise in temperatures in the east of the country.
The assessment represents the professional basis and starting point for the preparation of the Climate Change Adaptation Strategy and for the design of measures such as strengthening the resilience of the infrastructure (cabling networks, anti-flood measures), adjusting the planning of new buildings and including climate risks in strategic documents and investment plans.
Climate change scenarios indicate that already recognized risks will intensify in the future, especially floods, storms and heat. In order to ensure a reliable energy supply, it will therefore be necessary to implement adaptation measures.
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